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"Charting a Course: Strategic Choices for a New Administration. Chapter 13: South Asia," by Dr. Thomas F. Lynch III (12DEC2016)

This chapter, authored by Dr. Tom Lynch of the National Defense University (NDU), is specific to South Asia security challenges and conditions. It is part of a global examination of security issues to prepare the incoming new US president. See pages 267 - 295.  



EXSUM: "In late 2016, the United States has four major national security interests in South Asia. Three of these are vital security interests with more than a decade of pedigree. They will require new administration policies and strategy to prevent actions that could gravely damage U.S. security: a major conventional war between India and Pakistan, the return of global terrorist safe havens in the region, or the proliferation of nuclear weapons or materials into the hands of America's enemies. The challenge will be 'to keep a lid' on the potential for a major terrorist strike of the U.S. homeland emanating from South Asia or from a major interstate war that could risk nuclear fallout, involvement of China, the loss of nuclear material to terrorists, or a combination of all three. A fourth objective is relatively new, but rising in importance. It requires the new administration to pursue a flexible strategy and proactive but patient security initiatives that enable the responsible rise of an emerging American security partner, India, in a manner that supports U.S. security objectives across the Indo-Pacific region without unintentionally aggravating the Indo-Pakistan security dilemma or unnecessarily stoking Chinese fears of provocative encirclement."