Format: Each panelist will present for 15 minutes followed by 30 minutes of Q&A
Agenda
1500-1530CEST/0900-0930EST: Presentation on From Victory to Defeat: Assessing the Russian Leadership's War Calculus
1530-1600CEST/0930-1000EST: Question & Answer Session with Moderation to include other panelists
Read Ahead and Source Paper
Panel Abstract
This session will examine the Russian leadership's calculations regarding victory and defeat. It will look at how Moscow defines victory and defeat in war today, and then reflect in detail on historical examples, including wars that the Russian defence leadership explicitly references in its current debate. The presentation will frame how Moscow may see both history and victory and defeat differently to Euro-Atlantic observers - another example of different conclusions being drawn from the same evidence - and then explore characteristics common to the defeats that Russia has suffered.
Panelist: Andrew Monaghan, Ph.D.
Director, Russia Research Network Ltd
Non-Resident Associate Fellow, NATO Defence College, Rome
Dr. Andrew Monaghan is Director of the Russia Research Network Ltd. Additionally he is a Non-Resident Associate Fellow of the NATO Defence College in Rome (where he is also the Commissioning Editor of the Russian Studies publication series), Senior Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) in London, and Honorary Senior Research Fellow at the University of Birmingham. He has previously worked for the Oxford Changing Character of War Centre, Chatham House, NATO and the UK Defence Academy. He has advised various governments and international organisations, as well as major companies. He has served as an expert witness to several parliamentary committees, including the UK’s National Security Strategy Committee, the House of Commons Defence and Foreign Affairs Select Committees, and NATO’s Parliamentary Assembly. He is widely published and is the author of several books, including Dealing with the Russians (Polity, 2019), Power in Modern Russia (MUP, 2017) and The New Politics of Russia (MUP 2016).
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