Through energy diplomacy, military might and soft power, Russia will gradually increase its influence in Africa.
Indeed, as Stephanie Wolters of the Institute for Security Studies notes, ‘Russia’s position hasn’t really changed much in the past few years – i.e. bargaining for African support in multilateral institutions in return for UN Security Council vetoes.’
However, through strategic energy diplomacy, military might and soft power, Russia will gradually increase its influence in Africa on an incremental, rather than an exponential, level.
Russia’s push to level the playing field and create a more equitable power balance in international relations is likely to appeal to Africa’s leaders.