Running Estimate 6 - Russian Domestic Perceptions: The War in Ukraine

This Running Estimate…

  • Seventy-six percent (76%) of Russia’s population—mostly older generations—continues to support the Kremlin’s “special military operation” in Ukraine as of July. This is an insignificant change from the previous month, and remains part of a longer-term decline.

  • The Kremlin’s Crimea and Donbas actions in 2014 spurred Ukraine’s defense reform and broad public support, which bolster its fight against Russia today; however, its troops are not without substantive challenges of their own.

  • Ukrainian troop morale remains high, but has begun to fluctuate as the war drags through its 6th month and casualties mount. To sustain a longer war with Russia, Ukraine is seeking to balance fighting with economic stabilization.