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This Running Estimate…
Seventy-six percent (76%) of Russia’s population—mostly older generations—continues to support the Kremlin’s “special military operation” in Ukraine as of July. This is an insignificant change from the previous month, and remains part of a longer-term decline.
The Kremlin’s Crimea and Donbas actions in 2014 spurred Ukraine’s defense reform and broad public support, which bolster its fight against Russia today; however, its troops are not without substantive challenges of their own.
Ukrainian troop morale remains high, but has begun to fluctuate as the war drags through its 6th month and casualties mount. To sustain a longer war with Russia, Ukraine is seeking to balance fighting with economic stabilization.