This Running Estimate…

• Russian domestic support for the war decreased from 76% in August to 72% in September, almost certainly reflecting public discontent over Russia’s mobilization and the disorderly way it has been carried out.
• Approximately 300,000 Russians have been mobilized, but at least as many have also fled Russia as a result the mobilization order.
• Ethnic minorities and rural populations across Russia claim that the mobilization is targeting their communities.
• Russian allies have largely failed to support the Kremlin’s annexation of occupied Ukrainian territory.