2021-03-18 THE CHEKINOV-BOGDANOV COMMENTARIES OF 2010-2017: WHAT DID THEY TEACH US ABOUT RUSSIA’S NEW WAY OF WAR? (Timothy Thomas)

Russian Colonel (reserves) S. G. Chekinov and Lieutenant-General (retired) S. A. Bogdanov wrote 13 interesting articles in the journal Military Thought (nine of them are summarized in the article) that had a major impact on how Western analysts understood Russian military affairs and way of war. They provided Western analysts with a basic overview until late 2017 of the basic thinking behind how Russia might intend to go to war and with what capabilities. Targets and goals were described, which included key infrastructure facilities (dams, nuclear power plants, and other infrastructure facilities). The initial period of war (IPW) discussion was extensive. It was clear that before future conflicts begin, it will be important to mislead, surprise, intimidate, bribe, or use other means to confuse opponents as part of the IPW. Perhaps the main point of interest was that a new generation war (NGW) will be “fought by the rules and customs of the side that is best prepared to put the recent breakthroughs in warfare economics and technologies to a practical test.” Finally, the authors made clear that the boundaries between military and peaceful methods in 21st century warfare have disappeared. A “new-type” of warfare has evolved that even surpasses NGW and, for many, is not even perceived as war. It does what it can to split societies with the use of fifth columns or inducing rioters to betray their country.