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Operational Environment and Threat Analysis Directorate
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TTR Iran June 2016
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TTR Iran June 2016
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The US State Department has “long-standing concerns over Iran’s nuclear program, sponsorship of terrorism and human rights record.”
Iran would likely use an adaptive hybrid threat consisting of regular, irregular, and criminal elements to defend its territorial assets and national interests.
Iran’s military presents a threat that uses both high- and low-tech threat capabilities to challenge a potential technologically-superior adversary.
Iran is geographically positioned on a major strategic chokepoint (Strait of Hormuz).
Iran conducts well-organized and effective information warfare (INFOWAR) operations, sometimes in the form of military exercises that demonstrate the potential and intent to disrupt maritime operations in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s operatives continue to support groups such as Lebanese Hezbollah, Palestinian Hamas, Badr Group, and Iraqi militias.
Iran continues to support Assad’s regime in Syria.
“Iran’s destabilizing activities” are a continued “problem” for the US.
The Iranian military consists of two elements: The Artesh composes the conventional military that resembles the pre-1979 force before the Islamic Revolution. The 1979 revolution created the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) that primarily protects the Islamic regime.
The IRGC espouses an unconventional military doctrine.
The IRGC has projected Iran’s agenda via terrorist operations in Azerbaijan, Georgia, India, and Thailand in 2012.
Nicole Bier
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